Chris Cilliza
UNLESS OF COURSE YOU HAVE BEEN SMOKING SOMETHING ELSE WHICH WOULD MAKE MORE SENSE IF ONE IS TO JUDGE YOUR BEHAVIOR.
Chris Cillizza uses WaPo data from this poll to put it this way:
Despite that near-unified opposition from Republicans, a majority -- 50 percent -- of voters overall approve of the jobs Obama is doing, numbers buoyed by some gains among independents (49 percent approve/49 percent disapprove) since the last Post/ABC survey. (Eight in ten Democrats approve of the job Obama is doing.)
Ezra simplifies it, and notes with this Gallup table at a glance who likes Obama and who doesn't. Study it, because likely voters are traditionally the bottom of the table. Dem chances are entirely linked to motivating the top of the table. And do note the Dem (79%) and liberal (75%) approval of Obama, and those 18-29 year olds (57%). Note also that independents (40%) are not moderates (54%).
Whatever the answer to the question of who controls Congress, (and we will know 11/3, and maybe even 11/2), there's no doubt the Dems are in a better position now than they were a month ago, even though they still trail. Still, approval for Congressional Dems is 36%, R's is 30% and respondents favor Dems for the economy 44-37.
No one likes Republicans, even if they win. And they haven't won until they do.
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http://www.time.com/time/nation/article/0,8599,2020411,00.html